{"id":7197,"date":"2025-12-05T02:48:16","date_gmt":"2025-12-05T02:48:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enteratelatino.org\/?p=7197"},"modified":"2026-08-19T20:27:39","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:27:39","slug":"el-sector-privado-reduce-al-039-el-pronostico-de-crecimiento-del-pib-mexicano-para-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enteratelatino.org\/index.php\/2025\/12\/05\/el-sector-privado-reduce-al-039-el-pronostico-de-crecimiento-del-pib-mexicano-para-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"El sector privado reduce al 0,39 % el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del PIB mexicano para 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ciudad de M\u00e9xico, 1 dic (EFE).- Especialistas del sector privado redujeron el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del producto interior bruto (PIB) mexicano para 2025 al 0,39 %, desde una estimaci\u00f3n previa del 0,50 %, revel\u00f3 este lunes la encuesta mensual del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mientras que la previsi\u00f3n para 2026 disminuy\u00f3 al 1,29 %, un ligero decrecimiento respecto a la estimaci\u00f3n anterior del 1,32 %, de acuerdo con la media de los 42 grupos de an\u00e1lisis y consultor\u00eda nacionales y extranjeros indagados por el banco central entre el 14 y 26 de noviembre pasados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Advertisement – Anuncio<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Estas proyecciones se difunden tras revelarse que el PIB de M\u00e9xico se contrajo el 0,2 % trimestral y el 0,1 % interanual de julio a septiembre, frente a la desaceleraci\u00f3n proyectada por los organismos internacionales y financieros en el pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los expertos tambi\u00e9n redujeron la perspectiva de la inflaci\u00f3n general para el cierre de 2025 a una estimaci\u00f3n del 3,75 % desde una previa del 3,80 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Advertisement – Anuncio<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta previsi\u00f3n se revela luego de que la tasa de inflaci\u00f3n descendiera al 3,61 % en la primera quincena de noviembre, tras haber ca\u00eddo al 3,57 % en septiembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para 2026, los especialistas proyectaron que la inflaci\u00f3n se ubique en el 3,96 %, un porcentaje mayor al 3,84 % del mes anterior, y sigue estando por encima de la meta del 3 % del banco central mexicano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como factores que podr\u00edan obstaculizar el crecimiento en M\u00e9xico en los pr\u00f3ximos seis meses, los expertos destacaron a nivel general: la gobernanza (40 %), las condiciones econ\u00f3micas externas (25 %) y las internas (25 %).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A nivel particular, los especialistas se\u00f1alaron como factores de obst\u00e1culo para el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico mexicano a la pol\u00edtica sobre comercio exterior (15 %), los problemas de inseguridad p\u00fablica (14 %), otros problemas de falta de estado de derecho (10 %), la debilidad en el mercado interno (9 %), y la corrupci\u00f3n (8 %).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los analistas mejoraron la perspectiva del tipo de cambio, al estimar ahora que la moneda mexicana cerrar\u00e1 2025 en 18,71 unidades por d\u00f3lar, menor a la proyecci\u00f3n anterior de 18,87 pesos por billete estadounidense que preve\u00edan en septiembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Advertisement – Anuncio<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para 2026, los expertos calculan que la moneda mexicana se intercambiar\u00e1 en 19,18 unidades por d\u00f3lar, menor al estimado de 19,34 del mes anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sobre el sector externo, para 2025 las expectativas sobre el d\u00e9ficit comercial se elevaron a 7.462 millones de d\u00f3lares desde las anteriores de 7.077 millones de d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As\u00ed mismo, el pron\u00f3stico de la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa (IED) se elev\u00f3 levemente a una proyecci\u00f3n de 37.636 millones de d\u00f3lares desde una anterior de 36.145 millones de d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Foto:Trabajadores operan maquinaria en una f\u00e1brica, en Ciudad Ju\u00e1rez Chihuahua (M\u00e9xico). Imagen de archivo. EFE\/ Luis Torres<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ciudad de M\u00e9xico, 1 dic (EFE).- Especialistas del sector privado redujeron el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del producto interior bruto (PIB) mexicano para 2025 al 0,39 %, desde una estimaci\u00f3n previa del 0,50 %, revel\u00f3 este lunes la encuesta mensual del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico). Mientras que la previsi\u00f3n para 2026 disminuy\u00f3 al 1,29 %, un […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":7183,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[11],"tags":[1421],"class_list":["post-7197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mexico","tag-pib-mexicano"],"yoast_head":"\nEl sector privado reduce al 0,39 % el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del PIB mexicano para 2025 - Enterate Latino<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enteratelatino.org\/index.php\/2025\/12\/05\/el-sector-privado-reduce-al-039-el-pronostico-de-crecimiento-del-pib-mexicano-para-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El sector privado reduce al 0,39 % el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del PIB mexicano para 2025 - Enterate Latino\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ciudad de M\u00e9xico, 1 dic (EFE).- Especialistas del sector privado redujeron el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento del producto interior bruto (PIB) mexicano para 2025 al 0,39 %, desde una estimaci\u00f3n previa del 0,50 %, revel\u00f3 este lunes la encuesta mensual del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico). 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